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2026 Tax Season: Bigger Refunds, New Deductions, and a Shift to Digital Payments

Your IRS guide to what’s changed, what to expect, and when your refund will arrive during the 2026 tax season

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Carlos Loria
10/12/2025 11:00
en Finance
Bigger tax refunds coming in 2026?

Bigger tax refunds coming in 2026?

Heading into the 2026 tax season, American taxpayers should get ready for some major changes. These stem from the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” (OBBBA), a piece of legislation signed into law back in July 2025. While the changes could lead to bigger refunds for many, they also introduce new steps you can’t afford to miss when getting your paperwork ready.

With the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) now enforcing these rules and having completely phased out paper checks, getting a handle on the new timeline, your potential refund amount, and the updated process is absolutely essential.

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When to Expect Your Money: The 2026 Refund Schedule

So, when does it all start? The IRS hasn’t announced the official kickoff for the 2026 filing season yet. Looking at past years, though, most tax experts believe e-filing will likely open in late January 2026—probably around January 26th to the 28th.

If you e-file and use direct deposit (which is now the only option, since paper checks are gone), you can generally expect your refund in under 21 days. The table below is a handy guide, showing when your refund might arrive based on when the IRS accepts your return.

If IRS Accepts Return By (Estimated) Direct Deposit Refund May Arrive As Early As
January 26, 2026 February 6, 2026
February 2 February 13
February 9 February 20
February 16 February 27
March 2 March 13
April 13 April 24

Important Delay for Certain Filers: The IRS is legally required to hold refunds for taxpayers claiming the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) or the Additional Child Tax Credit (ACTC) until mid-February. The agency states that most of these refunds will be available by March 3, 2026, if direct deposit is selected and the return has no issues.

A major procedural change for 2026 is the phase-out of paper refund checks. In accordance with an executive order, the IRS is moving all taxpayers to direct deposit. Individuals without a traditional bank account can use a prepaid debit card or digital wallet that supports direct deposit, provided they have routing and account numbers.

Projected Refund Amounts: A Big Boost for Many

Analysts project that the 2026 tax refund season could be one of the largest on record, with the average refund potentially increasing by about $1,000.

Financial services firm Piper Sandler estimates total refunds could grow by $91 billion, pushing the average refund to roughly $4,151, up from $3,151 in the previous filing season. This jump is largely attributed to the OBBB’s retroactive tax cuts for the 2025 tax year, which were not reflected in employers’ payroll withholding tables. As a result, many people had more tax withheld from their paychecks than necessary and will receive that overpayment back as a larger refund.

The benefits are expected to be most pronounced for middle- and upper-middle-income households, particularly those earning between $60,000 and $400,000 annually. The important changes driving these larger refunds include an increased standard deduction and new, specialized deductions.

What’s New: Provisions of the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act”

The OBBB introduces several new deductions and extends existing benefits. Below are some of the most notable changes for individual filers:

  • Increased Standard Deduction: The baseline deduction everyone can claim has risen, reducing taxable income.

  • New Senior Deduction: Taxpayers aged 65+ can claim an extra $6,000 deduction ($12,000 for a qualifying married couple).

  • Deduction for Tips: Workers in occupations that customarily receive tips can deduct up to $25,000 of qualified tip income.

  • Deduction for Overtime Pay: Employees can deduct the extra “half” portion of time-and-a-half overtime pay, up to $12,500 ($25,000 jointly).

  • Deduction for Car Loan Interest: Interest paid on loans for new, U.S.-assembled personal vehicles is deductible, up to $10,000 annually.

Standard Deduction Increases (2025 vs. 2026)

Filing Status 2025 Amount 2026 Amount
Single / Married Filing Separately $15,750 $16,100
Married Filing Jointly $31,500 $32,200
Head of Household $23,625 $24,150

While you wait, collect all necessary records, including Forms W-2, 1099 (for gig economy work, investments, etc.), and records of digital asset transactions. Furthermore, get ready to provide routing and account numbers for the mandatory direct deposit of your refund

Tags: tax
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